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运用系统动力学的方法,通过因果关系图和流图等工具对我国云计算服务业的演进进行了仿真模拟分析,研究发现:首先,我国云计算服务业处于快速发展阶段,仿真期内云计算服务用户数和营业收入逐年快速增长;其次,政府、金融机构的支持是我国云计算服务业能够起飞的重要保证,政府的支持力度要保持在合理范围内,过度支持对云计算服务业演进的效用不明显,可能会造成资源浪费;最后,技术创新是云计算服务业发展的关键内部因素。对于服务提供商来说,其技术水平很大程度上决定了云计算服务质量。
By using the method of system dynamics, this paper simulates and analyzes the evolution of China’s cloud computing service industry through tools such as causality diagram and flow chart. The findings are as follows: Firstly, China’s cloud computing service industry is in a rapid development stage. During the simulation period, The number of service users and operating income have increased rapidly year by year. Second, the support from governments and financial institutions is an important guarantee for China’s cloud computing service industry to take off. The support from the government should be maintained within a reasonable range and over-support for the evolution of cloud computing service industry The effect is not obvious, may result in waste of resources; Finally, technological innovation is the key internal factors in the development of cloud computing services. For service providers, its technical level largely determines the quality of cloud computing services.