新年伊始,从整体经济形势来看,美国复苏势头增强,但是加息压力增大;欧元区陷入通缩风险,希腊存在较大的可能爆发危机,且欧元区与俄罗斯冲突可能升级;我国经济下行压力增大,1月份制造业陷入萎缩,制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为49.8%,环比下降0.3个百分点,连续4个月回落。其中新订单指数环比回落0.2个百分点,连续第 At the beginning of the new year, from the perspective of the overall economic situation, the recovery of the United States has been strengthened but the pressure of rate hikes has increased. The euro zone has been in deflationary risk. There is a great possibility of a crisis in Greece and the euro zone’s conflict with Russia may escalate. In January, the manufacturing industry was in decline. The manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) was 49.8%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month and falling for 4 consecutive months. The new orders index fell 0.2 percentage points chain, the first consecutive