今年,政府将经济增速的目标定为7.5%左右。但国家统计局数据显示,今年一季度GDP增速为7.4%。对此,官方解释,7.4%虽然比7.5%少了0.1个百分点,但经济增速仍在合理区间运行。可是,市场的解读并不乐观。经济学家许小年认为,中国正在经历一次衰退,其特点是结构性衰退,而非周期性衰退。也就是说,中国将经历一次长期衰退。此后,陆续发布的宏观经济数据也并不乐观。于是,人们开始担心经济增速可能滑出合理区间所设定的7%底线。 This year, the government set the goal of economic growth at around 7.5%. However, National Bureau of Statistics data show that the first quarter of this year GDP growth rate of 7.4%. In this regard, the official explained that 7.4% although less than 7.5% by 0.1 percentage points, but the economic growth rate is still operating within a reasonable range. However, the interpretation of the market is not optimistic. Xu Xiaonian economist believes that China is experiencing a recession, characterized by structural recession, rather than cyclical recession. In other words, China will experience a long-term recession. Since then, one after another released macroeconomic data is not optimistic. As a result, people began to worry about economic growth may slip out of the reasonable range set by the bottom line of 7%.