由著名地震学家郭增建、秦保燕、李革平合著的《未来灾害学》一书,于1992年12月由地震出版社出版问世。该书是作者继《灾害物理学》之后,对灾害成因和预测研究的深入和发展。在本书中,作者基于他们几十年对地震学和灾害学研究的成就,运用近代软科学的最新理论,系统和全面地分析了自然灾害的成因机理、孕育和发展的规律,并以预测、预防的战略性研究为主线,论述了未来灾害学的研究方法与方向。 The book “Future Disaster Studies” co-authored by famous seismologists Guo Zengjian, Qin Baoyan and Li Geping was published by Earthquake Press in December 1992. The book is the author of “disaster physics” after the cause of the disaster and prediction of the depth and development. In this book, based on their achievements in seismology and catastrophism for decades and applying the latest theories of modern soft science, the author systematically and comprehensively analyzed the mechanism of natural disasters, the law of birth and development, and based on the forecast , Prevention of strategic research as the main line, discusses the future of disaster research methods and direction.