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本文认为,2008年下半年以来,我国经济增长呈现加速滑坡趋势。GDP增速从上半年的10.4%回落到四季度的6.8%。今年1～2月份,经济运行出现初步企稳迹象。随着政府一揽子经济刺激方案的实施和效应的逐步显现,经济发展环境有望继续改善。下一阶段,宏观经济政策在保持政府投入力度和有效性的同时,应着力促进市场驱动的内需的回升,避免出现二次探底,减少经济趋稳和回升中的波动。
This paper argues that since the second half of 2008, the economic growth in our country has shown an accelerated trend of decline. GDP growth slowed from 10.4% in the first half to 6.8% in the fourth quarter. From January to February this year, the economic operation showed signs of stabilizing initially. With the implementation of the package of government stimulus packages and the gradual emergence of the effects, the economic development environment is expected to continue to improve. In the next phase, macroeconomic policies should, while maintaining the intensity and effectiveness of government investment, focus on promoting the recovery of market-driven domestic demand, avoiding double bottoming and reducing fluctuations in economic stabilization and recovery.