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如果刘易斯拐点的到来将宣告人口红利的终结,那么房地产泡沫的破灭及拆迁保障政策的施行也将宣告土地红利的落幕。近期,国务院发布了人口发展“十二五”规划,称十二五时期是中国人口发展的重大转折期,“劳动年龄人口总量达到峰值,此后缓慢下行,人口抚养比在经历40多年下降后开始上升”。这番表述确认并预告了“刘易斯拐点”已经来到了家门口,人口红利即将成为一种美好的回忆。
If the arrival of the Lewis turning point will declare the end of the demographic dividend, then the burst of the real estate bubble and the implementation of demolition safeguard policies will declare the end of the land dividend. Recently, the State Council released the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” on Population Development, saying that the 12th Five-Year Plan period was a major turning point in the development of China's population. “The total working-age population peaked and then slowed down. Population dependency ratio experienced 40 After years of decline began to rise ”. This statement confirmed and forecasted “Lewis turning point ” has come to the door, the demographic dividend is about to become a good memory.