在冰岛成功地“应力预测”了1次5级地震,做法是根据S波分裂的时间延迟变化来估计地震的时间和强度,即估计在受应力作用的体积(也是地震释放应变的体积)内微裂隙在应力作用下达到破裂临界点的时间和强度。当地的研究提供了大致的震中位置。本文叙述了应力预测依据的准则。 A magnitude 5 earthquake was successfully “stress-predicted” in Iceland by estimating the time and intensity of the earthquake based on the time-lapse variation in S-wave splitting, ie, estimating the magnitude of the stress-induced volume (also the volume of seismic strain relief) The time and intensity of the micro-cracks reaching the rupture critical point under the stress. Local research provided a rough epicenter. This paper describes the criteria for stress prediction.