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国家计委有关专家分析认为,在目前经济形势下,中国能源供应在总体上出现了阶段性过剩,但从国内生产能力和长期发展看,中国能源供应过剩主要是结构性的,石油和天然气仍将是中国供应紧缺的资源,优质煤炭目前也有较大缺口.据有关部门分析,中国煤炭资源探明储量可以满足到2020年以后的需要;天然气和铀矿资源探明储量可以满足到2010年的需求;石油资源探明储量和新增储量预计仅能满足到2010年的需求.中国原油储量和产量近年来增长缓慢,储采比远低于世界总体水平,预计国内的石油供应缺口还将进一步拉大.
According to experts from the State Development Planning Commission, in the current economic situation, China’s energy supply has generally shown a period of overcapacity. However, from the standpoint of domestic production capacity and long-term development, China’s energy supply surplus is mainly structural while that of oil and natural gas Will be China’s scarce supply of resources, high-quality coal is also a larger gap.According to the analysis of relevant departments, China’s proven reserves of coal resources to meet the needs beyond 2020; proven reserves of natural gas and uranium resources to meet the 2010 Demand; the proven reserves and newly added reserves of oil resources are only expected to meet the demand of 2010. China’s crude oil reserves and output growth has been slow in recent years, and the reserve-production ratio is far below the world standard. It is estimated that the domestic oil supply gap will further increase enlarge.