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通过比较本世纪以来的厄尔尼诺年和日食资料，发现了高纬（包括极区）日食与厄尔尼诺年之间存在着一定的因果关系。通过定义年日食一厄尔厄诺系数Ｒ１和累积日食一厄尔尼诺系数Ｒ２后，可以发现当某年的Ｒ１≥９或Ｒ２≥１０．５级时，则当年必为厄尔尼诺年，反之亦然．本文还提出了日食诱发厄尔尼诺现象的热一动力机制，并预测２０００年将是一个强厄尔尼诺年．
By comparing El Niño and solar ecliptic data from this century, it is found that there is a certain causal relationship between the solar eclipses in the high latitudes (including polar regions) and El Nino years. By defining annual eclipse Eureenov coefficient R1 and cumulative eclipse-El Nino coefficient R2, it can be found that when a year R1 ≥ 9 or R2 ≥ 10.5, the year will be El Nino, and vice versa . This paper also proposes a thermo-mechanical mechanism for eclipse-induced El Niño events and predicts that 2000 will be a strong El Niño year.