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在总结现有预测方法——基于集计与非集计的预测方法的优缺点的基础上,针对枢纽管理的不同需求提出分时段预测、换乘量短时预测、分担率类比预测等预测方法,并应用于辽阳市客运枢纽换乘量的预测分析。从客运枢纽的建设阶段(已建成与未建成)、换乘预测方法构建的难易程度、基础资料准备过程等方面对各方法的适应性进行比较,扩展客运枢纽换乘量预测的研究思路。(吴文静,等:综合客运枢纽换乘量预测方法及其适用性分析)
Based on summarizing the advantages and disadvantages of the existing forecasting methods, which are based on the aggregated and non-aggregated forecasting methods, the prediction methods such as sub-period forecasting, short-term transfer forecasting and analogous forecasting of sharing rate are put forward for the different needs of hub management , And applied to the forecast analysis of the transfer capacity of passenger transport hub in Liaoyang City. This paper compares the adaptability of each method in terms of the construction stages of passenger terminals (completed and unfinished), the ease of construction of transfer forecasting methods, and the preparation process of basic data, and extends the research ideas of forecasting the transfer capacity of passenger transport hubs. (Wu Wenjing, et al: Prediction of transfer capacity of integrated passenger transport hub and its applicability analysis)