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一、2012年全球粗钢生产若按照中/低钢铁生产前景测算,2012年全球粗钢产量同比将下降2.4%;而若按照中/高钢铁生产前景测算,2012年全球粗钢产量也仅增长1.9%。WSD认为,中-低生产前景出现的可能性较大。尽管两种情况下的预测结果有所不同,但WSD认为2012年全球钢铁生产将呈现“前低后高”走势,下半年中国经济增长将好于上半年。随着中国逐渐放松信贷,将有助于推动
First, the global crude steel production in 2012 If in accordance with the medium / low steel production prospects, 2012 global crude steel production will drop 2.4% year on year; and if in accordance with the medium / high steel production prospects, the 2012 global crude steel production only increased 1.9%. WSD believes that medium-low production prospects appear more likely. Although the forecast results in the two cases are different, WSD believes that global steel production will show a trend of “low before high and low” in 2012 and China’s economic growth in the second half will be better than in the first half. As China gradually loosens its credit, it will help promote it