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测定柑桔潜叶蛾在６个温度下的发育、存活、生殖情况，根据实验数据所呈现的规律，建立了温度对柑桔潜叶蛾存活、生殖的数学模型．模拟结果表明，生物物理模型不仅能很好地拟合柑桔潜叶蛾发育与温度的关系，也能很好地拟合世代存活率及内禀增长能力与温度的关系；抛物线模型能很好地拟合潜叶蛾卵的孵化率、幼虫的存活率、成虫的产卵量和种群增长指数与温度的关系．当环境瘟度为３０℃时，内禀增长能力最大（ｒｍ＝０．１６６９）．相应的周限增长速率λ＝１．１８１６ｄ－１．世代平均历期Ｔ＝１５．９１００ｄ．净增殖率Ｒ＝１４．２４００．
The development, survival and reproduction of the leaf miner at six temperatures were determined. According to the rules presented by the experimental data, a mathematical model was established for the survival and reproduction of the leaf miner. The simulation results show that the biophysical model can not only fit well the relationship between the development of citrus leafminer and the temperature, but also well fit the relationship between survival rate and intrinsic growth capacity and temperature. The parabola model can be very good The hatching rate, the survival rate of larvae, the fecundity of adults and the index of population growth were fitted to the relationship between the temperature and the temperature of the leaf-moth. When the environment blast degree is 30 ℃, the intrinsic ability to increase the maximum (rm = 0.1669). The corresponding growth rate of the limit λ = 1.1816d-1. The average generation of T = 15.9100d. Net growth rate R = 14.2400.