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进入90年代以来,全球经济发展趋势呈现了一个鲜明的对比:主要发达工业国家的经济增长持续衰退,而许多发展中国家和地区却以前所未有的速度突飞猛进。这一趋势使许多经济学家坚信,未来25年,全球经济格局可能出现150年来最剧烈的重组,当今支配世界经济的许多发达工业国家,都可能被逐渐崛起的新兴国家和地区所取代。一些发达国家的悲观论者甚至已开始登高疾呼,要求政府及早准备迎接来自第三世界的挑战。
Since the 1990s, the trend of global economic development has shown a sharp contrast: the economic growth in the major developed industrial countries has continued to decline, while many developing countries and regions are making unprecedented strides. This trend has convinced many economists that in the next 25 years the global economic pattern may witness the deepest reorganization in 150 years and that many developed industrial countries that dominate the world economy today may be replaced by emerging emerging countries and regions. Pessimists in some developed countries have even started to climb high ground and urged the government to prepare for the challenge from the third world as soon as possible.