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目的:探讨中国2000～2008年各地区城市化对儿童死亡率的影响。方法:基于W.Henry Mosley&Lincoln C.Chen提出的儿童死亡率决定因素的理论分析框架,构建城市化对儿童死亡率影响的路径模型,选取2000～2008年各地区的有关统计资料,借助偏最小二乘路径模型技术(PLS path modeling)进行实证分析。结果:城市化促进了经济发展,经济发展提高了基础设施水平,改善了通信条件,加大了污染控制力度,提高了人民收入;上述因素促进了妇幼保健服务利用,降低了儿童营养不良的发生率,最终降低儿童死亡率。结论:在中国各地大力推进城市化的背景下,控制污染、提高人民收入、改善通信条件、发展文化教育事业、加强基础建设,有助于降低儿童死亡率。
Objective: To explore the impact of urbanization on child mortality in various regions of China from 2000 to 2008. Methods: Based on the theoretical analysis framework of the determinants of child mortality proposed by W. Henry Mosley and Lincoln C. Chen, a path model of the impact of urbanization on child mortality was established. Relevant statistical data of all regions from 2000 to 2008 were selected, Take PLS path modeling for empirical analysis. Results: Urbanization promoted economic development, economic development improved the level of infrastructure, improved communication conditions, increased pollution control and increased people’s income. These factors promoted the utilization of maternal and child health care services and reduced the incidence of malnutrition among children Rate, eventually reducing child mortality. Conclusions: Under the background of vigorously promoting urbanization in various parts of China, controlling pollution, raising people’s incomes, improving communication conditions, developing cultural and educational undertakings, and strengthening infrastructure will help reduce child mortality.