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1988年第四季度开始的紧缩,在消除经济过热、降低通货膨胀率等方面取得明显成效的同时,也出现了紧缩过程中难以避免的负效应——生产滑坡和市场疲软.从1989年第四季度开始,国务院适时地调整了紧缩力度,促进了经济的回升.在这过程中,经济生活变化较大,但人们对这一变化的认识不尽一致,进行宏观分析时的理论假设和分析方法各异,对经济形势的判断和相应的对策也就迥然不同.这说明正确判断经济形势很重要．对此,谈点个人的看法.
The austerity begun in the fourth quarter of 1988 achieved notable results in overcoming the economic overheating and reducing the inflation rate. At the same time, the unavoidable negative effects of the tightening process - the landslide in production and the weak market - emerged from the fourth At the beginning of the quarter, the State Council timely adjusted the tightening efforts and promoted economic recovery.In this process, the economic life has changed a lot, but people’s understanding of this change is not consistent. The theoretical assumptions and analytical methods in the macroeconomic analysis Different judgments on the economic situation and the corresponding countermeasures will be very different.This shows that the correct judgments of the economic situation is very important. In this regard, talk about personal views.