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在城市化这个大题目下,有的话讲起来有把握,有的很没有把握。我先从比较有把握的命题开始,这就是中国的城市化还有很大的潜力。不妨看几个数据。2013年中国GDP中农业的份额占10.1%。但同年农村户籍人口占总人口还高达65%。如果这部分65%的人口只分享10%的总产出,那恐怕天都会塌下来。幸亏实际情况不是这样的,今天很多农村户口的人已经进了城镇,以工商为业,也常住在城镇。这部分人占总人口的17%,总数当在2
Under the big issue of urbanization, some are sure to talk about it and some are not sure about it. Let me start with a more propitious proposition, which is that there is still great potential for urbanization in China. May wish to see a few data. The share of agriculture in China’s GDP in 2013 was 10.1%. However, in the same year, the rural household population accounted for as much as 65% of the total population. If this part of 65% of the population only share 10% of the total output, I am afraid that the sky will fall. Fortunately, the actual situation is not the case. Many people in rural areas today have entered cities and towns, taken business and industry, and often live in cities and towns. This part of the total population of 17%, when the total number of 2