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全球价值链分工下,制造与服务活动空间布局的分异并没有割裂两者基于共同价值创造形成的关联性。聚焦于制造业对服务“中间投入”形成的逆向需求,并借助投入-产出分析,研究重点考察了制造业外部市场需求引致的逆向需求及其对本土服务业出口的影响。在揭示逆向需求关联引致服务业出口潜在规模持续增长特点基础上,主要观点表明:制造业庞大外部市场规模通过逆向需求关联,显著构成推动我国服务业出口贸易发展的重要驱动力量,目前尤其突出表现为对我国劳动密集型服务业出口的促进作用。而在未来重点突破方向上,技术密集型服务业出口逆向需求关联效应的增强尤为关键。
Under the division of the global value chain, the division of the spatial distribution of manufacturing and service activities does not break the connection formed by the common value creation. Focusing on the reverse demand of the manufacturing industry for service “intermediate investment ”, and using the input-output analysis, the study focuses on the adverse demand caused by the demand of the manufacturing external market and its impact on the export of local service industries. On the basis of revealing the continuous growth of the potential scale of service export caused by the linkage of reverse demand, the main opinions show that the scale of manufacturing large external market, through the linkage of adverse demand, constitutes a significant driving force for promoting the development of export trade in our service industry. For the promotion of China’s labor-intensive service exports. In the direction of major breakthroughs in the future, it is especially crucial for the enhancement of the correlation effect of the export-oriented reverse demand for technology-intensive services.