现有的许多管理工具如我们从前常用的“净现值法”等等都诞生于高度确定性的环境,当时对未来现金流的预测是完全可能的。而如今,面对高度不确定性的经济环境,这一切早已不复存在。不过也有紧跟时代步伐的企业,很多享有高速增长的成功企业逐步适应了现今局势, Many of the existing management tools such as our “net present value method” and so forth were born in a highly deterministic environment where it was entirely possible to forecast future cash flows. Now, in the face of a highly uncertain economic environment, all this long ago ceased to exist. However, there are also companies keeping up with the pace of the times. Many successful enterprises enjoying rapid growth have gradually adapted to the current situation.