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2012年上半年我国有色金属工业运行面临前所未有的严峻挑战,除受国内外宏观经济环境影响外,产业的原料保障能力不足、部分产品产能过剩、企业组织结构不合理、抗风险能力弱等产业的内在结构性矛盾也更加凸显,总体呈现“一个进展,两个回落,三个下滑”态势。从当前国内外经济形势及产业运行态势判断,下半年有色金属工业难以从根本上摆脱困难局面,预计产业运行可能会呈现“总体企稳,缓慢回升”的趋势。但是,电解铝、多晶硅、锌冶炼等部分产能过剩行业面临的困境难以克服,将继续在低谷徘徊,一些企业处境可能更加艰难。
In the first half of 2012, China’s non-ferrous metal industry was faced with an unprecedented severe challenge. Except for the macroeconomic environment at home and abroad, the industrial raw material support capacity is insufficient, some of the products have excess capacity, the organizational structure of the enterprise is irrational, and the anti-risk capability is weak The internal structural contradictions are also more prominent, showing an overall “one progress, two down, three declines” situation. Judging from the current domestic and international economic situation and industrial operation situation, it is difficult for the non-ferrous metal industry to fundamentally get out of the difficult situation in the second half of the year. It is expected that industrial operation may show a trend of “overall stabilization and slow recovery”. However, the difficulties faced by some overcapacity industries such as electrolytic aluminum, polysilicon and zinc smelting are hard to overcome and will continue to hover at low levels. Some enterprises may be in a more difficult situation.