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今年1—5月,工业增长速度已高达23.8％,投资增长率高达68.3％,生产资料价格指数已超过50％,消费品价格指数也已突破二位数,4月份达到10％以上。经济增长是否已进入“过热”状态?通货膨胀是否已死灰复燃?政府的宏观管理政策是否已到必须出台强烈紧缩措施的时刻?是目前各方面正在激烈争论的焦点问题。我认为,如何进行以上重大判断,必须从我国经济增长方式已发生重大转变这个背景出发,才能得出正确结论。
From January to May this year, the industrial growth rate has reached as high as 23.8% with an investment growth rate of 68.3%. The price index of means of production has exceeded 50%. The consumer price index has also exceeded the two-digit figure and reached over 10% in April. Has the economic growth entered the “overheated” state? Has the inflation resumed? Has the government’s macroeconomic management policy been in place for the time when there must be a drastic austerity measure? It is now a hotly debated issue. In my opinion, in order to make the above major judgments, we must proceed from the background that a major change in the mode of economic growth has taken place in our country in order to reach a correct conclusion.