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政策实施视角下的评估模型不仅需要对政策对象建立可测量分析的评估指标,也需要对可能影响政策目标实现的具体因素进行探索性的分析,为政策的制定和实施提供具有针对性的建议。本文以上海市各区县的基层民政能力为研究对象,选择上海市18个区县的2006年至2010年的民政数据作为面板数据进行实证分析。研究表明,上海市各区县间的基层民政能力存在较大的差异,影响基层民政能力发展非均等性较为显著的因素主要有人均地方生产总值、老年人口比例、医疗救助人次比、抚恤补助人数比、民政事业单位数、村居委会数以及地理位置这7个因素。
The evaluation model from the perspective of policy implementation not only needs to establish measurable indicators for the evaluation of policy objects, but also explores the specific factors that may affect the realization of policy objectives and provides targeted suggestions for policy formulation and implementation. In this paper, the grass-roots ability of civil administration in all districts and counties in Shanghai as the research object, select the 18 districts and counties in Shanghai from 2006 to 2010 as the panel data to conduct empirical analysis. The research shows that there are big differences in grassroots civil administration ability among all districts and counties in Shanghai. The main factors affecting the development of civil administration ability at the grassroots level are the per capita GDP, the proportion of the elderly population, the number of medical aid recipients, the number of pensioners Than the number of civil affairs institutions, the number of village committees and the geographical location of these seven factors.