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本文利用我国1995-2015年的相关数据,在Glick,Rogoff(1995)构建的动态跨期模型的基础上将来自国内外的生产力冲击合并,通过构建协整方程实证分析技术进步对我国经常项目的影响。基于相关理论分析和计量检验的结果,笔者认为:技术进步有助于我国经常项目的降低,而从宏观微观两方面促进国内技术创新,以效率带动经济发展,有利于我国扭转长期以来“双顺差”的不利局面,能够提高我国对国外投资的利用率。
Based on the data from 1995 to 2015 in our country, based on the dynamic intertemporal model constructed by Glick and Rogoff (1995), this paper combines the impact of domestic and overseas productivity shocks and empirically analyzes the technological progress through building co-integration equation influences. Based on the results of relevant theoretical analysis and measurement test, the author believes that technological progress will help to reduce the current account in China, and promote domestic technological innovation from the macro and micro perspectives so as to promote economic development with efficiency and help our country to reverse its long-standing double- Surplus "situation, can improve our utilization of foreign investment.