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本文对黑潮海温场特征及其持续性作了统计分析,并发现黑潮海温场前期的异变是预报浙江西南片汛期降水较好的预报指标,它能提前半年以上的时间来预示汛期降水的多寡,对一些异常年份事先也能有较好地反映。
This paper makes a statistical analysis of the characteristics and persistence of the Kuroshio temperature field and finds that the variation of the Kuroshio SST field in the early stage is a good predictor of forecasting the precipitation in the southwest of Zhejiang in the flood season and can be predicted more than half a year earlier The amount of precipitation in the flood season, for some unusual years in advance can also have a better reflection.