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本文探讨的是中国政府负债问题。文章分析中国政府负债变动的原因,细致地对政府的负债进行评价,对中国政府未来短期、中期的负债情况做出预测,并指出,虽然中国政府的负债问题扩大成系统性风险的可能性较低,但是要解决负债问题仍需要相当长的时间。中国政府负债现状根据中国审计署的调查,截至2013年6月底,中国政府的负债总额为人民币30.275万亿元(包括偶发债务),达到了2012年国内生产总值(GDP)的58.3%。从负债主体来看,中央
This article explores the issue of debt in China. The article analyzes the reasons for the change of Chinese government debt, carefully evaluates the government’s debt, forecasts the Chinese government’s future short-term and medium-term liabilities, and points out that although the possibility of expanding the liability issue of the Chinese government into systemic risk Low, but it still takes a long time to solve the debt problem. Government Liabilities in China According to a survey conducted by China’s Audit Commission, as of the end of June 2013, the total liabilities of the Chinese government amounted to RMB30.275 trillion (including incidental debts), reaching 58.3% of the gross domestic product of 2012. From the main body of the debt, the central government