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进入21世纪后中国重工业增长速度显著加快,关于这一轮重工业化的成因和影响存在较多争议,本文使用30个省级行政区13年的面板数据进行了实证分析,结果表明:“收入提高带来了重工业化”的观点存在夸大成分;政府干预在这一轮重工业化过程中扮演着重要角色;民营企业的参与对重工业化发挥了一定作用;重工业化没有影响到总体从业人员增长,也没有影响到进城务工的农村劳动力增长,没有证据表明重工业化会恶化就业。
Since the 21st century, the growth rate of China’s heavy industry has accelerated remarkably. There are many controversies about the causes and effects of this round of heavy industrialization. This paper uses the panel data of 30 provincial administrative regions for 13 years to conduct an empirical analysis. The results show that: Heavy industrialization "; government intervention plays an important role in this round of heavy industrialization; the participation of private enterprises has played a role in heavy industrialization; heavy industrialization has not affected the growth of the overall workforce, Nor did it affect the growth of rural labors in urban areas. There is no evidence that heavy industrialization will worsen employment.