论文部分内容阅读
从服务业“成本病”视角梳理了服务业集聚、服务业“成本病”和城市化三者间的关系,并阐释了三者间的作用机制。在此基础上,构建了理论分析框架并提出相应的研究假设。利用2003-2014年中国大陆31个省(市、区)的面板数据,分析了服务业集聚与城市化的时空差异和相关性,进而采用面板门槛模型,探讨了服务业集聚对城市化发展的非线性影响及其相应的门槛效应。结果显示:存在两个服务业劳动生产率门槛值;在不同区间的劳动生产率下,服务业集聚对城市化具有不同程度的促进作用,即当劳动生产率较低时,服务业集聚对城市化的促进作用较弱,而每当劳动生产率跨越更高的门槛值时,其对城市化的促进作用均有极大的增强。
From the perspective of service industry “cost disease ”, the relationship between service agglomeration, service industry “cost disease ” and urbanization is clarified and the mechanism of action among the three is explained. On this basis, the theoretical analysis framework is established and the corresponding research hypotheses are proposed. Using the panel data of 31 provinces (cities and districts) in mainland China from 2003 to 2014, this paper analyzes the spatial and temporal differences and correlation of service agglomeration and urbanization, and then uses panel threshold model to discuss the impact of service agglomeration on urbanization Nonlinear effects and their corresponding threshold effects. The results show that there are two thresholds for labor productivity in service industry. With labor productivity in different regions, service agglomeration can promote urbanization in varying degrees. That is, when labor productivity is low, service agglomeration can promote urbanization The effect is weaker, and whenever the productivity of labor crosses a higher threshold, the promotion effect on urbanization is greatly enhanced.