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本文从财政分权这一事实出发,遵循分权影响政府行为,进而影响产出这样的研究思路,通过建立VAR模型,分析了财政分权、经济增长、第二产业产值比重和全要素生产率相互之间的关系。分析表明,预算内财政分权指标和综合财政分权指标对经济增长效果并不十分明显;根据脉冲响应函数,发现其中存在负的冲击;财政分权对全要素生产率效果并不显著,但对第二产业产值比重有较大影响。根据实证分析结果,提出加快转变政府职能等六点政策建议。
Based on the fact of fiscal decentralization, this paper follows the research ideas of decentralization affecting government behavior and then output, and establishes the VAR model to analyze the relationship between fiscal decentralization, economic growth, the output value of the secondary industry and total factor productivity The relationship between. The analysis shows that the fiscal decentralization indicators and comprehensive fiscal decentralization indicators are not very effective on economic growth. According to the impulse response function, it is found that there is a negative impact among them. The effect of fiscal decentralization on total factor productivity is not significant, The proportion of secondary industry output has a greater impact. According to the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward six policy suggestions such as accelerating the transformation of government functions.