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受到美国次级债问题影响,专家预期2008年中国经济增长将平稳放缓至10.4%,奥运会后可能进入平稳调整阶段。其中出口和房地产行业增速将受到较大影响,而服务业投资增速将有所提升。国际原油价格居高不下,粮食库存处于低位,都将推升生产要素成本,加上人民币升值因素,CPI仍将维持高位运行。在这种情况下,2008年的A股市场将往何处走?
Affected by the subprime mortgage issue in the United States, experts expect that China’s economy will slow down steadily to 10.4% in 2008 and may enter a stage of steady adjustment after the Olympics. Among them, the growth rate of exports and the real estate industry will be greatly affected, while the growth rate of investment in the service industry will increase. High international crude oil prices and low grain inventories will push up the cost of production factors. Coupled with the RMB appreciation, the CPI will remain at a high level. In this case, where will the 2008 A-share market go?