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对全世界铁路在今后15年（1994～2009）期间的机车和由国营铁路经营的城市间动车市场进行了详细的分析研究。预测结果表明：内燃机车的年均需求量约为2250台，北美和中国约占其中的一半；电力机车的年均需求量约为1600台，中国和印度约占其中的65％；动车的年均需求量约为3000辆，其市场主要在欧洲、印度和日本（共占其中的70％人预测结果还表明，目前全世界铁路约有175000台当量机车，到2009年，将净减少57000台当量机车。文中指出，原经互会成员国将报废大量过剩的旧机车、调整运输体系以及在世界其它地区普遍地用新型大功率的机车取代技术陈旧、生产率低下的机车，是全世界铁路机车总保有量呈下降趋势的主要原因。
A detailed analysis was conducted on the locomotives of the world’s railways in the next 15 years (1994-2009) and the inter-city moving car market operated by state-owned railways. The forecast results show that the average annual demand of diesel locomotives is about 2,250 units, with North America and China accounting for about half of them. The annual average demand for electric locomotives is about 1,600 units, with China and India accounting for about 65% of the total. Demand is about 3,000 units, the market is mainly in Europe, India and Japan (a total of 70% of the forecast results also show that there are about 175,000 equivalent locomotives worldwide railway by 2009, a net decrease of 57,000 units Equivalent locomotives.This article points out that the former member countries of the mutual exchange will be scrapped a large excess of the old locomotives, adjust the transport system and the rest of the world in general with new high-power locomotives to replace the technology is outdated, low productivity locomotive is the world rail locomotive The total number of holdings is the main reason for the downward trend.