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消费滞后是造成我国内需不足的重要原因之一。本文通过对我国1981-2003年的居民消费函数的实证分析,得出我国居民长期边际消费倾向偏低,短期边际消费倾向下降过快的结论;指出长期边际消费倾向偏低的原因是传统的消费观念以及社会保障制度不完善,收入分配不公平,而短期边际消费倾向下降过快则主要是由于产品的供给结构与居民的消费需求结构错位造成的;提出解决长期边际消费倾向偏低和短期边际消费倾向下降过快的政策措施。
Consumption lag is one of the important reasons for the lack of domestic demand in our country. Based on the empirical analysis of the household consumption function in our country from 1981 to 2003, we draw the conclusion that the long-term marginal propensity to consume in our country is low and the short-run marginal propensity to consume declines too fast. We point out that the reason for the low long-run marginal propensity to consume is the traditional consumption The concept and social security system are imperfect and income distribution is unfair. However, the short-term marginal propensity to consume consumption declines too fast, which is mainly caused by the product supply structure and residents’ mismatch of consumer demand structure. It is proposed to solve the problem of low long-run marginal propensity to consume and short- Decline in propensity to consume policies and measures too fast.