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从发电侧、电网侧和用电侧出发,分析了智能电网低碳效益动态评价的关键影响因素及其相互关系,绘制了各环节实现低碳效益的因果关系环路;在此基础上,基于系统动力学构建了SD仿真模型,刻画了我国智能电网实现低碳效益的动态反馈过程;根据我国电网实际和发展预期,运用该仿真模型对2011年至2020年的我国智能电网低碳效益进行了动态评价。通过算例分析,验证了该模型合理有效,操作性较性。评价结果也表明,我国智能电网具有显著的低碳效益。
From the power generation side, grid side and power consumption side, the key influencing factors and their interrelationships of dynamic evaluation of low carbon efficiency of smart grid are analyzed, and the causal loop of achieving low carbon benefits in each stage is drawn. On this basis, System dynamics to build a SD simulation model to characterize the dynamic feedback process of China’s smart grid to achieve low carbon efficiency; According to the actual and development of China’s power grid, using this simulation model for 2011 to 2020 China’s smart grid carbon efficiency Dynamic evaluation. Through the example analysis, it is verified that the model is reasonable and effective and the operability is more. Evaluation results also show that China’s smart grid has a significant low-carbon benefits.