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目的分析秦皇岛市肾综合征出血热(HFRS)的发病情况与气象因素之间的关系。方法收集秦皇岛市2005—2012年气温、湿度、降雨量、日照时数与HFRS发病数,用SPSS 13.0统计软件进行相关分析和线性回归。结果强迫引入法的方程较为可取(调整R2=0.218),月平均气温与发病数呈正相关,月平均湿度与发病数呈负相关。结论秦皇岛市HFRS发病数与气象因素有关系,可以用这些因子来预测发病数。
Objective To analyze the relationship between the incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) and meteorological factors in Qinhuangdao City. Methods The data of temperature, humidity, rainfall, sunshine hours and incidence of HFRS from 2005 to 2012 in Qinhuangdao were collected. The correlation analysis and linear regression were carried out with SPSS 13.0 statistical software. Results The equation of forced introduction method was preferable (adjusted R2 = 0.218). The monthly mean air temperature was positively correlated with the number of onset and the monthly average humidity was negatively correlated with the number of onset. Conclusion The incidence of HFRS in Qinhuangdao City is related to meteorological factors, and these factors can be used to predict the incidence of HFRS.