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时下,“中国经济何时触底复苏”俨然已成为热门话题。伴随着2009年三四月份及第一季度的宏观经济数据的相继出炉,很多学者认为中国经济的最坏时刻已经过去,经济已在第一季度触底,而财政刺激政策效果将会在之后的几个月里得到更大程度的显现,因此中国经济有望在第二季度反弹,2009年中国经济增长“保八”的任务将能够顺利实现。2009年4月份公布的PMI指数(采购经理指数)再次站上50%一线更是为经济复苏一说增色不少。不少人甚至豪言,中国必先于世界其他经济体复苏。
Nowadays, “when the Chinese economy bottoming out soon” seems to have become a hot topic. With the release of the macroeconomic data in March, April and the first quarter of 2009, many scholars believe that the worst time for China’s economy is over, the economy has bottomed out in the first quarter, and the effect of fiscal stimulus will be later A few months to get a greater degree of appearance, so China’s economy is expected to rebound in the second quarter, in 2009 China’s economic growth, “Paul Ba” task will be able to be successfully achieved. Published in April 2009 the PMI index (purchasing managers index) once again stand on the 50% front line is to say that the economic recovery many enhance color. Many people even argue that China must first recover from the rest of the world economy.