以《数字化生存》一书闻名的美国学者尼葛洛庞帝预言:纸质书将在5年内消亡。一时间,纸质书背后的传统出版业也哀鸿遍野。事实证明,被判了“死缓”的纸质书不仅没有消亡,甚至还在近两年出现了逆势增长:统计数据显示,2015年我国图书出版增长速度为3.96%。然而,不可否认的是尼葛洛庞帝所描绘的“计算机将为人们读报,看电视,而且还能应人们的要求,担任编辑工作”的“数字化生存”已经成为现实。《第 American scholar Negroponte, best known for his book “Digital Survival,” predicts that the paper book will die out within five years. For a time, the traditional publishing industry behind the paper book was also overwhelmed. Facts have proved that the paper sentenced to “deathwalking” not only did not die out, but contrarian growth even appeared in the past two years: Statistics show that in 2015 China’s book publishing grew at a rate of 3.96%. However, it is undeniable that “digital survival,” as Negroponte portrayed, “computers will read newspapers, watch TV, and serve as editors for people’s needs” has become a reality. "No.