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2009年9—12月份影响国际大豆价格的最重要的因素有:(1)世界各国经济复苏的前景;(2)整体商品市场的走势;(3)大豆供应面即美国大豆的最终产量以及南美种植面积扩张状况;(4)世界大豆的需求变化(以中国进口为主)。综合分析以上因素得出如下结论:世界大豆价格在四季度会以牛市为主,底部会继续抬高,美豆指数有极大的可能冲破1 172美分而继续上涨至1 200美分以上平台。预计在美国大豆大量上市的11月份前后价格会有季节性低点出现。世界大豆价格在2008年9月份开始的商品暴
The most important factors influencing international soybean prices in September-December 2009 are: (1) prospects for economic recovery in various countries in the world; (2) trends in the overall commodity market; (3) soybean supply, the final soybean production in the United States, (4) Changes in the demand of the world’s soybean (mainly imported from China). Comprehensive analysis of the above factors concluded that the world soybean prices in the fourth quarter will be the bull market, the bottom will continue to rise, the United States soybean index is likely to break through the 1 172 cents and continue to rise to 1 200 cents above the platform . It is expected there will be a seasonal low in the November and late November prices for a large number of US soybean stocks. World soybean prices in September 2008 the beginning of the commodity violence