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今年8月份以前,与持续低迷的股市相比,国债市场空前活跃,特别是本年度发行的国库券被一抢而空。8月份以后股市反转,国债的价格走势将会如何,这是为各界人士所普遍关注的一个问题。宏观经济的运行,金融改革的进展,证券市场的变化,国债本身的特性,以及投资者的心理等等,对国债的价格都会产生重大的影响。这里仅对国债的价格走势作以简要的分析。
Before August this year, compared with the continuing downturn in the stock market, treasury bonds market was unprecedentedly active. In particular, treasury bonds issued this year were looted. After the stock market reversed in August, the price trend of treasury bonds will be going on. This is a question that people of all walks of life are generally concerned about. The macroeconomic operation, the progress of the financial reform, the changes in the securities market, the characteristics of the national debt itself, and the psychology of investors all have a significant impact on the prices of government bonds. Here only a brief analysis of the trend of national debt prices.