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近来,世界和中国的经济发生了一些事情,影响着世界和中国期货市场的发展。这里仅举几点: 第一,美国和亚洲、欧洲一些国家出现经济衰退,“9.11”事件加剧了衰退。目前人们对2002年美国经济的走势有不同的判断。较为乐观的预测是,要到一季度末或者年度中期开始恢复;有些人则比较悲观,认为衰退刚刚开始。不过,今年日本经济将继续处于衰退状态看来没有疑问。
Recently, there have been some things going on in the world and in China’s economy, affecting the development of the world and China’s futures market. Here are just a few points: First, the United States and Asia, some European countries, economic recession, “September 11” exacerbated the recession. At present, people have different judgments on the trend of the U.S. economy in 2002. The more optimistic forecast is that recovery will start by the end of the first quarter or the middle of the year; while others are more pessimistic, thinking the recession has just begun. However, there seems no doubt that Japan’s economy will continue to decline this year.