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最近各路专家都在预测中国经济触底的时点,试图寻找中国经济反弹前的最后一片洼地。然而信贷状况改善的缓慢、政策刺激空间的有限、美联储加息步伐的渐行渐近,都给经济的下一步走向带来了诸多不确定性因素。为此,《经济》记者就这些问题对渣打银行大中华区研究部主管、首席经济学家丁爽进行了专访。下半年经济会温和反弹《经济》:在您看来,中国经济在今年下半年触底的可能性有多大,是否会出现短期反复触底的
Recently, experts from various quarters are trying to find the last depression before China’s economic rebound because it is predicting the time when China’s economy bottoms out. However, the sluggish improvement of credit conditions, limited space for policy stimulus, and the gradual and orderly pace of the Federal Reserve’s rate hike have all brought many uncertainties to the next step of the economy. To this end, “Economic” reporter on these issues on Standard Chartered Bank Greater China Research Department, Chief Economist Ding Shuang conducted an interview. In the second half of the year, the economy will moderately rebound in “economy.” In your opinion, how likely is China’s economy to bottom out in the second half of this year? Will there be a short-term bottom-out?