论文部分内容阅读
气候是人类最基本最重要的资源之一。直到本世纪前,气候一般被看成只有年内变化的准静态模型,很少考虑其长期变动的影响。现在,科学已证明气候还有多种时间尺度不同振幅的周期变化,并已能对较长时期的气候变动趋势作出探索性预报。气候专家们一般认为,目前地球气候正处于较大的变动中,在气候资源利用已较充分的情况下,这无异是说将会出现一个新的危机——气候危机。这就有可能和必要从气候变动趋势对人类的生产和生活这个大系统的影响的角度提出气候经济学的概念,预做研究以提出对策,在长期经济战略中对气候变动趋势的经
Climate is one of the most basic and important human resources. Until the turn of the century, the climate was generally viewed as a quasi-static model that changed only during the year, with little consideration for its long-term effects. Now, science has demonstrated that there are also cyclical variations of climates at different timescales in climate and has been able to make exploratory predictions of longer-term climatic changes. Climate experts generally believe that the earth’s climate is currently undergoing major changes. When climate resources are fully utilized, this means that there will be a new crisis, a climate crisis. It is possible and necessary to propose the concept of climate economics from the perspective of the large-scale impact of climate change trends on mankind’s production and livelihoods. Pre-research studies should be undertaken to put forward countermeasures in response to the climate change trends in long-term economic strategies.