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世界经济发展史表明,一国主导产业选择直接决定该国经济发展的速度和方向,可谓“一国命脉”。世界经济发展总是有可兹遵循的共性和规律。当下我国经济处于增度放缓、结构升级和发展动力不足的战略转型期。将视阈扩展到世界经济长周期范围内,探究与我国在历史语境、文化心态与认同机制都存在诸多共性的东亚国家和地区经济转型升级的成功经验,梳理其主导产业的形成机制,可以发现,供给要素(比较优势)、市场需求(内需+外需)、制度保障(政策法规)是经济成功转型的三大要素。在新常态背景下,遵循这一规律将会有效促进经济增长和跨越中等收入陷阱。
The history of world economic development shows that the choice of the dominant industry of a country directly determines the speed and direction of the country’s economic development can be described as “the lifeblood of a country ”. The development of the world economy always follows the same generalities and laws. At the moment, China’s economy is in a period of strategic transformation characterized by a slowdown in growth, structural upgrading and insufficient development momentum. Expand the horizon to the long-term economic cycle of the world and explore the successful experience of economic restructuring and upgrading in East Asian countries and regions that share many commonalities in the historical context, cultural mentality and identification mechanism in our country. Discovering, supply elements (comparative advantages), market demand (domestic demand + external demand), and institutional guarantees (policies and regulations) are the three major elements of a successful economic transformation. Under the new normal background, following this law will effectively promote economic growth and cross the middle-income trap.