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未来一段时间,我国经济出现通胀的概率很低,主要风险是通缩和下行压力,宏观调控要明确基本取向,把稳增长与防通缩结合起来,把需求侧综合性调控与供给侧结构性改革结合起来。需求侧调控的政策重点是,合理确定经济增长和价格上涨目标,稳定和引导市场预期;实施适度宽松和定向调控的货币政策,定位好防通缩的政策目标和运用好多种政策工具;实施更加积极和结构性的财政政策,适当加大政策力度和发挥更好政策效果。以此为基础,通过深化供给侧改革促进结构调整和经济增长,重点推进国有企业、用地供给、金融、财税、价格等关键环节改革。
In the future, the probability of inflation in our economy will be very low with the main risks of deflation and downward pressure. Macro-control should be clear about its basic orientation, combine steady growth with anti-deflation, and integrate the demand-side comprehensive regulation with the supply-side structural reform stand up. Demand-side regulation and control of the policy focus is to reasonably determine the goals of economic growth and prices to stabilize and guide the market expectations; the implementation of moderate easing and directional control of monetary policy, targeting anti-deflation policy objectives and the use of a variety of policy tools; the implementation of more active And structural fiscal policies, appropriately increase the intensity of policies and give better policy results. On this basis, deepen reform on the supply side to promote structural adjustment and economic growth, and focus on promoting the reform of key sectors such as state-owned enterprises, land supply, finance, taxation and pricing.