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沿污染物减排、节能降耗、综合利用、无害化处理的设计主线,以国家试点指标为模板,建立了一套循环经济发展评价指标体系。基于这套指标体系,选取2005—2009年30个省市区的面板数据,利用目标逼近法和主客观结合的赋权法,对我国循环经济的发展状况进行考察,以期为制订中的国家循环经济“十二五”规划提供数据支持。研究结果表明,“十一五”期间,我国循环经济发展的综合指数呈先降后升的“U”形变化,2007年后虽然有所进步,但总体水平离国家“十一五”规划目标依然差距不小。
Along the main design line of pollutant emission reduction, energy saving, comprehensive utilization and harmless treatment, a set of evaluation index system of circular economy development has been set up based on the national pilot indicators. Based on this indicator system, the panel data of 30 provinces and cities in 2005-2009 are selected, and the development of circular economy in China is investigated by the method of target approximation and the subjective and objective combination of weights, Economic “second five ” plan to provide data support. The results show that during the “11th Five-Year Plan” period, the comprehensive index of circular economy development in our country has been changed from “U” to first and then dropped. Although it has made some improvements since 2007, Fifteen "planning gap is still not a small target.