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从比较和历史─制度的观点出发，同时借用葛兰西“被动革命”、“精英融合”等概念，分析了威胁印尼中期稳定的诸种因素及其历史根源。集权体制和武装力量在国家政治和经济生活中的特殊化是印尼独立时期的两份政治遗产。通过探讨苏哈托体制中的政治权威系统及其演变，可看出苏哈托政府不是“发展政府”,而是一个“社团主义”政府，因而暴力横行和军阀政治是印尼可能出现的最糟糕局面，而权力分散将是解决印尼问题的关键。
From the point of view of comparison and history-system, we use Gramsci’s concepts of “passive revolution” and “elite fusion” to analyze the factors that threaten Indonesia’s medium-term stability and its historical origins. The specialization of the centralized and armed forces in the country’s political and economic life are two political legacy of Indonesia during its independence. By examining the system of political authority and its evolution in the Suharto system, it can be seen that the Suharto government is not a “government of development” but a “corporatist” government, so violence and warlord politics are the worst possible in Indonesia Situation, while decentralization will be the key to resolving the Indonesian issue.