从短期来看,住房需求将经历一定程度的向下调整;从中期来看,家庭投资增速将与储蓄保持同步,住房资产配置比例也将恢复相对稳定,预计年均住房销售面积将保持10亿平方米左右,住房价格增速保持7%-8%;从长期来看,家庭部门储蓄率及其对住房资产的配比将会下降,住房需求及价格将可能出现缓慢下降的局面,住房市场区域格局也可能会发生较大调整。 In the short term, housing demand will undergo a downward adjustment to a certain extent. In the medium term, the growth rate of household investment will keep pace with the savings and the ratio of housing assets will resume relatively stable. It is estimated that the average annual sales area of ​​housing will be maintained at 10 In the long run, the savings rate of the household sector and its ratio to the housing assets will decline, and the demand and prices of housing will likely decline slowly. Housing will grow at 7% -8% Market area pattern may also be a major adjustment.