黑天鹅事件指非常难以预测且不寻常的事件,通常会引起市场连锁负面反应甚至颠覆。从前,固执的欧洲人认为天鹅都是白色的,因为从动物学的角度,这已成为牢不可破的信念,并在经验中得到了完全的证实。直到有一天,在澳大利亚发现了黑天鹅,于是,这种关于白天鹅的认知瞬间崩溃。大家突然发现,你坐在湖边看风景,即使连续飞过 Black swan event refers to very unpredictable and unusual events that usually cause the market chain to react negatively or even subvert. In the past, the stubborn Europeans thought the swans were white because, from a zoological point of view, this had become an unbreakable belief that was fully substantiated in experience. Until one day, a black swan was discovered in Australia, so the perception of the white swan collapsed instantaneously. We suddenly found that you sit in the lake watching the scenery, even if the continuous fly