论文部分内容阅读
2012年三季度,我国GDP同比增长7.4%。这是自2009年二季度起,14个季度以来最低的经济增长数据。进入四季度,随着CPI的持续走低,多项经济数据也在逐渐回暖。10月份,官方PMI为50.2%,终于重回荣枯线以上。随着前期积累的宏观刺激政策效应显现,加之企业去库存化周期接近尾声,制造业整体的新订单数终于出现向好迹象,生产和就业状况短期内应该有所改善。PMI止冷回暖的信号意义不言而喻,但由于其指数存在编制上过于简
In the third quarter of 2012, China’s GDP grew by 7.4% over the same period of last year. This is the lowest quarterly economic growth since the second quarter of 2009. Into the fourth quarter, with the CPI continued to decline, a number of economic data are gradually warmer. In October, the official PMI was 50.2%, finally returning to the glory above. With the accumulation of macro-stimulus policies in the early days and the recent de-stocking cycle of the enterprises, new orders for the manufacturing industry have finally shown signs of improvement. Production and employment conditions should improve in the short term. The significance of the PMI cooling signal is self-evident, but due to its index over-simplification