目前在水电站设计中对水庫的可靠运轉一般都采用调度图来完成,然而要滿足电力系统对水庫运行可靠性的要求,单纯依靠调度图是不能得到满意的結果的,这一点由于調度图本身的概念及其性質已经决定了。要解决水庫运行中的矛盾,作者认为唯一可靠的道路就是寻求河流长期水文预报,并依此而重新绘制 At present, the reliable operation of reservoirs in the design of hydropower stations is usually done by using the dispatch map. However, to meet the requirements of the power system for the reliability of reservoirs, simply relying on the dispatch map can not get satisfactory results. This is because the dispatch map itself The concept and its nature have been decided. To solve the contradictions in reservoir operation, the author believes that the only reliable way is to seek long-term hydrological forecast of the river and redraw it accordingly