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本文连接了“官员晋升锦标赛理论”研究与干部考核和选拔制度研究,全面分析了经济绩效、社会绩效、政治关系网络、一票否决类指标完成情况对市级领导人职位变动和升迁速度的影响。研究表明:官员政治激励结构存在异质化的特征,影响市委书记和市长晋升的因素不同,社会政策领域的实绩与市长的晋升概率和速度相关,而工作实绩与市委书记的晋升没有关联;与现有部分文献相一致,经济增长绩效无论是市委书记还是市长,在晋升与否与晋升速度上都没有影响;同时,本文第一次系统检验了维护社会稳定这一一票否决指标对地方干部晋升的影响,在维稳方面的实绩并不会影响市委书记和市长最终的职位变动,但会滞后提拔的时间。
This article links the “officials promotion tournament theory” research and cadre examination and selection system, a comprehensive analysis of economic performance, social performance, political relations network, one vote vetoed indicators of the completion of changes in municipal leadership positions and promotion speed Impact. The research shows that there exists heterogeneity in the structure of political motivation of officials. The factors influencing the promotion of secretary and mayor are different. The actual performance in the field of social policy is related to the promotion probability and speed of the mayor. However, the performance of the work is not related to the promotion of the party secretary ; Consistent with the existing part of the literature, economic growth performance, whether the secretary of the municipal party committee or the mayor, did not affect the promotion or not and the promotion speed; the same time, this article for the first time systematically tested the one-vote veto indicators to maintain social stability The promotion of local cadres, the performance in terms of stability and stability will not affect the final position of municipal party secretary and mayor changes, but will lag time for promotion.