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本文是一份全国电力需求市场半年分析报告。2000年上半年我国的经济运行发生了一些积极的变化,宏观经济形势出现了重要转机。同时,我国电力供需形势也发生了一些新的变化:扭转了1996年以来我国电力有效需求不足,用电增长缓慢的局面,上半年全社会用电增长速度超过10％;工业用电结束近年来低速增长的局面,成为上半年用电增长的有力支撑。针对这些变化的原因和特点,本文进行了详细分析,并在此基础上对全年的需电量进行了预测。
This article is a semi-annual analysis report of the national electricity demand market. In the first half of 2000, some positive changes took place in China’s economic operation, and an important turning point in the macroeconomic situation has emerged. At the same time, China’s power supply and demand situation has also undergone some new changes: reversed the effective demand for electricity in China since 1996, the slow growth of electricity consumption, the first half of the entire society grew faster than 10% of electricity consumption; industrial power ended in recent years The situation of low-speed growth has become a strong support for growth in electricity use in the first half of the year. Based on the reasons and characteristics of these changes, this article conducts a detailed analysis, and on this basis, the annual power demand is forecasted.