经济波动问题是经济增长理论与宏观经济管理中的重要课题。早在六十年代。我国经济理论界就有人对经济的波动问题进行了探讨,提出了经济发展是波浪式前进的观点。经济波动理论研究表明,社会主义经济制度建立四十年来,完全消除了导致类似资本主义经济危机的社会内部矛盾,为经济的迅速持续增长提供了条件。正因为这样,我国才得以在短时期内迅速建设起门类较为齐全、具有相当技术水平和实力的国民经济体系,我国取得的辉煌经济建设成就已被世界所公认。然而,从我国社会主义四十年经济发展的历史看,我国经济增长 Economic fluctuation is an important issue in economic growth theory and macroeconomic management. As early as the sixties. Some people in China’s economic circle have discussed the issue of economic fluctuations and put forward the view that economic development is going forward with waves. Studies on the theory of economic fluctuations show that the establishment of the socialist economic system over the past 40 years has completely eliminated the internal social conflicts that have led to the economic crisis like that of capitalism and provided the conditions for the rapid and sustained economic growth. It is precisely for this reason that our country was able to quickly build a relatively complete national economy with fairly technical level and strength within a short period of time. The brilliant achievements made in economic construction in our country have been recognized by the world. However, judging from the historical development of the four decades of socialist socialism in our country, our country has enjoyed economic growth